TRI-COUNTY TECHNICAL COLLEGE

COURSE SYLLABUS

Course Prefix & Number:    MAT 120_________________

Course Title:                          Probability and Statistics___

Class  Hours                        Lab Hours                     Credits

Per week:  __3_                   Per Week:  _0_             Awarded:  _3_

Catalog  Description: This course includes the following topics:  introductory probability and statistics, including organization of data; sample space concepts; random variables; counting problems; binomial and normal distributions; central limit theorem; confidence intervals and tests of hypotheses for large and small samples; type I and II errors; linear regression and correlation.

Entry Level Skills:     (1)        basic algebraic manipulations, including equations and inequalities in one variable,

                                    (2)        the ability to think logically and follow step-by-step procedures.

Pre-requisites:  Satisfactory math placement score

Co-requisites: None

Text(s)/Required Materials: Elementary Statistics by Mario F. Triola, 10th edition, Addison  Wesley, 2007.

Equipment: Scientific calculator with one- and two-variable statistical functions, TI-83 or TI-83 Plus or TI-84 Plus recommended.

Course Competencies and Objectives/Major Course Topics:

Unit 1: Descriptive Statistics

Upon completion of this unit (sections 1-1 – 1-4, 2-1 – 2-4 and 3-1 – 3.5) the student should be able to:

1.         distinguish between a population and a sample, and between a parameter and a statistic;

2.         identify good and bad sampling techniques and their importance;

3.         summarize data by constructing a frequency table;

4.         construct graphs such as histograms, dotplots, box and whisker plots, stem-and-leaf plots, pie charts, and Pareto charts, and use these tools to describe, explore and compare data;

5.         calculate measures of center including the mean, median, mode, and midrange;

6.         calculate measures of variation including the standard deviation, variance, and range;

7.         acquire a sense for the value of standard deviations using the range rule of thumb, empirical rule, and second Chebyshev’s theorem as appropriate;

8.         compare individual scores by using z scores and percentiles;

9.         construct a box and whisker plot and use it to explore the nature of a distribution;

10.     use the available statistical software to summarize and analyze data.

Unit 2: Probability Concepts and Distributions; Binomial Distributions

Upon completion of this unit (sections 4-1 – 4-4 [4-5 optional], 4-7, 5-1 – 5-4) the student should be able to:

1.         use the relative frequency to approximate probability;

2.         calculate probability for simple and compound events using the classical approach;

3.         apply tree diagrams and Venn diagrams to illustrate sample spaces and probabilities;

4.         use the basic properties of probability, and the complement of an event to aid in computing probability;

5.         recognize events that are mutually exclusive and use the addition rule to calculate the probability of “A or B”;

6.         determine whether events are independent, calculate conditional probabilities, and use the multiplication rule to calculate the probability of “A and B”;

7.         use counting techniques such as factorials, permutations, and combinations to find the number of possible outcomes;

8.         determine whether a given function on a discrete random variable satisfies the requirements for a probability distribution;

9.         compute the mean (or expected value) and standard deviation for a discrete probability distribution;

10.     determine whether a given procedure satisfies the requirements for a binomial experiment;

11.     calculate the probability of an event in a binomial probability experiment;

12.     calculate the mean and standard deviation for a binomial distribution.

Unit 3:  Normal Distributions and Estimates

Upon completion of this unit (sections 6-1 – 6-7 and 7-1 – 7-4) the student should be able to:

1.         use z scores and the standard normal distribution table to calculate probabilities for events in a normal distribution;

2.         use the standard normal distribution table and z scores to find x values for given probabilities;

3.         apply the central limit theorem to calculate probabilities associated with mean values;

4.         use the normal distribution to approximate binomial probabilities;

5.         examine a histogram, outliers, and a normal quantile plot to determine whether data have a normal distribution;

6.         examine the sampling distribution of a statistic;

7.         identify the sample mean as the best point estimate of the population mean;

8.         demonstrate that some statistics (mean, variance, proportion) tend to target the population parameter while others do not;

9.         construct a confidence interval for the population proportion based on whether σ is known or unknown;

10.     determine the sample size necessary to produce a confidence interval accurate to a desired degree of confidence and margin of error.

Unit 4: Hypothesis Testing; Correlation and Regression

Upon completion of this unit (sections 8-1 – 8-5 and 10-1 – 10-3) the student should be able to:

1.         determine the components of a hypothesis test: null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, type of test (two-tailed, left-tailed, or right-tailed), type I error, type II error, test statistic, critical region, critical value, and statement of conclusion;

2.         apply both the classical approach and the P-value approach to test a claim about the proportion of a single population;

3.         apply both the classical approached the p-value approach to test a claim about the mean with σ known or unknown;

4.         draw a scatter diagram and use its pattern to determine the relationship between x and y;

5.         calculate and interpret the linear correlation coefficient r;

6.         calculate the slope and y-intercept and construct the equation of the regression line;

7.         use the regression line to predict the value of a variable, given some value of the other variable.

Grade Calculation Method:     Unit tests                      =  60 – 80 %

                                                          Projects                         =    0 – 20%                         

                                                          Homework/other       =     0 – 10%

                                                         Final Exam                    = _       20%__

                                                                                                            100%

Additional Information Pertaining to Grades: A minimum grade of C is required for university transfer credit and recommended for progression to MAT 220.

Prepared by Debra Bindschatel______        Date written or revised: 03/03/2006_____